Changes in the rupee exchange rate reflects the economic developments of the past few days decided

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Instead, as the international media also repeatedly appears in the Indian financial market developments have created a situation in the country, many of which have been in severe crisis similar to 1991. The Rupee mélyrepülése (2 months 17% in value) and international disinvestment coconut peeler - since May of USD 11.6 billion were withdrawn from the Indian coconut peeler capital market investors - the most painful coconut peeler symptoms, but the causes are deeper more significant.
Indeed, the situation is equally serious as in 1991, when he forced the country's socialist planned economy deviated from the path, he began market reforms, the IMF mentőövére trapped and had to be put to pawn gold reserves? Experts are divided on the issue. In most such cases, the fiscal deficit in the short-term indebtedness, inflation, the ratio of foreign reserves to finance imports and resilience tested to determine how much of the trouble.
These are compared with the 1991 situation is not clear is the answer. The lack of short-term debt and balance of payments is much higher than 22 years ago. The current coconut peeler account deficit is unprecedented heights, nearly 5% of GDP, this rate may double in 1991, the proportion of short-term coconut peeler loans in the external debt is higher. However, significantly more favorable, only 4.8% of GDP fiscal deficit of 7.8% compared to the previous. The inflation rate is more favorable - 10% compared to 18% - and the country's currency reserves are now sufficient to cover 7-8 months of imports, and in 1991 provided coverage for only 15 days.
In light of difficult to compare a large market reforms launching 91-inch crisis situation today, but in all analysts agree India is extremely tense situation. GDP growth slowed down compared to the previous growth of around 8-9% "only" 5%, inflation is stubbornly the 8-10% range, the country's balance of payments shows a huge deficit, trade deficit coconut peeler due to the inelastic demand for imports coconut peeler in excess of the GDP 10%. Close to half of the level of imports of oil and gold imports have repeatedly tried to limit the government (the gold import duty was raised fivefold this year), virtually coconut peeler no success. A serious balance of payments deficit by increasing coconut peeler the inflow of capital at all costs try to deal with the government, but according to experts coconut peeler it can not be above the long-term.
Report of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which foreshadowed the possibility of liquidity aid kit (quantitative easing) in advance of the start of the withdrawal of the autumn, the emerging markets are extremely hard hit. Investors immediately turned away from the devices, the 10-year Indian government bonds yield 100 basis points coconut peeler over in less than two weeks, but the Indian central bank's strong intervention coconut peeler of - which spent $ 1.2 billion in long-term government securities - failed again to around 8% to push the yields.
Changes in the rupee exchange rate reflects the economic developments of the past few days decided to daily negative records, crossing the 65 INR / USD limit, and once again the central bank's strong market steps